Outgoing President Andrzej Duda won the first round of Poland’s presidential election on Sunday, with a projected 41.8 percent vote share. His closest rival, the centrist mayor of Warsaw, Rafal Trzaskowski, trailed on 30.4 percent. The final result will be announced on Wednesday.

However, many observers have said that the second round, in two weeks time, could see a reversal for Duda as the votes for the other candidates are more likely to go to Trzaskowski.

Duda is closely aligned with the rightist Law and Order Party, which has a majority of just five in Poland’s parliament. Since the post of president carries the right of veto for legislation, the poll is for far more than a ceremonial role and is an indication of support for the various parties in a deeply divided country.

Law and Order represents the conservative and pro-family elements in Polish society, with a largely rural support base, while Trzaskowski’s Civic Platform is regarded as representing more metropolitan elements.

The turnout was 62.4 percent, the highest in 20 years.

PHOTO: President Andrzej Duda ReutPolish President and presidential candidate of the Law and Justice (PiS) party Andrzej Duda gestures as he speaks after the announcement of the first exit poll results on the first round of presidential elections in Lowicz, Poland, June 28, 2020. REUTERS/Kacper Pempel